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[Seminar on Sept 10] The Mechanism of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: A New Perspective

Prof. Geoffrey Vallis

University of Exeter, UK
Room 1218, Building 3

10:00 am, Sept 10 



I describe a mechanism whereby convective aggregation and eastward propagating equatorial disturbances, similar to the Madden--Julian oscillation, arise. We construct an idealized mode consisting only of the shallow water equations plus a humidity variable. For a broad range of parameters the system is ‘excitable' and self-sustaining, even if linearly stable, with condensation producing convergence and gravity waves that, acting together, trigger more condensation. On the equatorial beta-plane the convection first aggregates near the equator, generating patterns related to those in the Matsuno--Gill problem. However, the pattern is unsteady and more convection is triggered on its eastern edge, leading to a precipitating disturbance that progresses eastward.

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