Previous studies indicate that the interannual variability of the Amazonian precipitation could be largely attributed to the variabilities in the South American monsoon and the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). However, the trend of the wet season tropical Amazonian precipitation during the recent decades is less investigated. Has Amazonian rainfall in wet season changed in the past decades?
In a recently published study in Environmental Research Letters, Profs. ZHU Jiang, LI Xichen and their Ph.D. student WANG Xinyue at Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences and Prof. Clemente A. S. Tanajura at Institute of Physics, Federal University of Bahia have revealed that Amazonian precipitation in wet season has largely increased during the past three decades (1979-2015). They used atmospheric general circulation model to explore what caused enhanced rainfall.
The results based on model simulation suggest that the tropical sea surface temperature(SST) variability may control this process, particularly in Atlantic and Pacific. In the past three decades, the Atlantic experienced the positive phase of the Atlantic Multileader Oscillation, characterized by a strong warm anomaly over the North and tropical Atlantic; while the Pacific exhibited the negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, characterized by a cooling anomaly over the tropical east Pacific.
The sea surface temperature changes over both the Atlantic and the Pacific contribute to the precipitation increase over the Amazonian basin, through atmospheric teleconnections. The Atlantic sea surface temperature forcing plays a comparatively more important role. Cold colors represent the cooling of sea surface temperature, the increased precipitation and enhanced moisture transport divergence; warm colors represent the warming of sea surface temperature, the reduced precipitation and weakened moisture transport divergence. (Image by WANG Xinyue)
"The SST changes over both the Atlantic and the Pacific contribute to the precipitation increase over the Amazonian basin, through atmospheric teleconnections. And we find the Atlantic SST forcing plays a comparatively more important role (than the Pacific SST)”. Says ZHU, the corresponding author of the study. These results provide new perspectives to studying the long-term change of the wet-season Amazonian precipitation.
Wang et al 2018 The strengthening of the Amazonian precipitation in the wet season driven by the tropical SSTs forcing. Environ. Res. Lett. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aadbb9
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